Baranovichipromburvod

OJSC "Baranovichipromburvod (Baranovichi Industrial Well-Drilling & Water)"

UNP: 200166886 · 210B Vilchkovsky St., Baranovichi

District-levelPrivatization

Identification

UNP200166886
OKED42.21 — Construction of pipelines (industrial well-drilling + industrial water supply; inventories of 821 comprise materials 672 + work in progress 134 — project-based construction work)
Legal formOJSC
Governing bodydistrict_level (Baranovichi District Executive Committee, Brest region); state share 95.67%; 351 shareholders
State share95.67%
Address210B Vilchkovsky St., Baranovichi
Websiteпромбурвод.бел

Financial statements

k BYN

Line itemReporting yearPrior year
Fixed assets4 0683 591
Intangible assets55
Income-bearing investments in tangible assets
Investments in long-term assets
Long-term financial investments
Deferred tax assets19
Long-term receivables219232
Other long-term assets
Total Section I (long-term assets)4 2933 837
Inventories821687
— materials672571
— animals being raised and fattened
— work in progress134116
— finished goods and merchandise15
— goods shipped
Deferred expenses76
VAT on acquired goods, works, services
Short-term receivables1 0621 549
Short-term financial investments
Cash and cash equivalents794837
Other short-term assets
Total Section II (short-term assets)2 6843 079
BALANCE (assets)6 9776 916
Charter capital213213
Reserve capital
Additional capital3 5153 142
Retained earnings (uncovered loss)2 1902 176
Targeted financing
Total Section III (equity)5 9185 531
Long-term loans and borrowings00
Long-term lease liabilities00
Deferred income3
Other long-term liabilities
Total Section IV (long-term liabilities)3
Short-term loans and borrowings00
Current portion of long-term liabilities00
Short-term payables1 0551 385
— to suppliers, contractors, providers380286
— on advances received178591
— on taxes and duties227200
— on social insurance and security4965
— on payroll149191
— to the owner of property (founders, participants)1612
— to other creditors5640
Deferred income1
Total Section V (short-term liabilities)1 0561 385
BALANCE (equity and liabilities)6 9776 916

Computed metrics

K1 · Current ratio
2.542
Prior: 2.223(+14.3%)
F1.290 / F1.690
K1 · Own working capital ratio
0.6054
Prior: 0.5502(+10%)
(F1.490 - F1.190) / F1.290
K2 · Sales profitability
8.63%
Prior: 13.91%(-5.28 пп)
F2.060 / F2.010 × 100%
K2 · Net profitability
2.39%
Prior: 6.16%(-3.77 пп)
F2.210 / F2.010 × 100%
K3 · Revenue dynamics
3.82%
(F2.010_N / F2.010_N-1) - 1
K3 · Debt dynamics
(F1.510 + F1.610)_N / (F1.510 + F1.610)_N-1 - 1
Operating cash-flow margin
5.15%
Prior: 19.24%
F4.040 / F2.010 × 100%

Integrity checks

Checks passed: 6 of 6

Balance sheet balances (assets = liabilities)
Cash-flow integrity
Cash-flow residuals
Cash position
Capital transition
Profit consistency

Signals

Yellow flags
  • Margin compression significant YoY: K2_sales -5.28pp (13.91 → 8.63), K2_net -3.77pp (6.16 → 2.39). Driver: cost inflation +10.4% cost of sales + +9.2% admin outpacing revenue +3.82%. If the trend continues in FY+1 — could shift from stable to problematic tier. Monitor.
  • OCF margin significant drop -14.09pp (19.24 → 5.15). Absolute F4.040 1,087 → 302 (-72%). Operating cash generation weakened materially. Possible drivers: (a) accelerated payment cycle to suppliers (F4.031 stocks +17%); (b) accelerated wage payments (F4.032 +18%); (c) tax / other cash-outflow growth. Watchpoint — sustainability in FY+1.
  • Revenue real decline 1-3%: nominal +3.82% with BY inflation ~5-7% = real -1-3%. Not market expansion. Services-market saturation OR competitive pressure OR pricing constraint. Combined with margin compression — looks like a small services company under market squeeze.
  • Long-term-asset coverage: 1.379 on book equity (upper edge of the norm), but only 0.560 excluding revaluation. The revaluation share of equity is 59.4%. This is not a distress signal — the enterprise is operationally profitable and accumulated equity is positive (own-working-capital ratio 0.605, surplus BYN 1,625k). The book figure overstates coverage through fixed-asset revaluation.
  • Advances received collapse: F1.632 591 → 178 (-70%). In a services context this could mean (a) end of a prior project that had advance payments (timing artifact), (b) shift to traditional postpaid billing, (c) loss of clients who prepaid projects. Combined with F1.250 receivables -32% (1,549 → 1,062) — overall working capital from the client side is shrinking: less advance-receivable AND less receivable-on-completed. Possibly a reduced project pipeline.
  • Work-in-progress F1.213 134 (vs 116) and F1.214 finished goods 15 (vs 0) — a small project-in-progress pipeline. Combined with advances received -70% — may signal a smaller pipeline in FY 2026 (fewer started, fewer completed). For a services company this is a leading indicator of revenue trajectory.
  • The enterprise's possible dominant position is unconfirmed by the competition authority — the classification is provisional. If the monopolist status is confirmed, privatization will require antitrust assessment and possibly approval. If it is not confirmed — privatization without additional conditions.
Green signals
  • Operating profitable BOTH years: F2.060 = +506 (2025), +786 (2024). K2_sales 8.63% remains above the 5% benchmark. Sustained operational profitability.
  • NO DEBT (zero loans): F1.510 + F1.610 = 0 in both periods. The old loan 299 (2024 prior period) fully repaid. Rare for a district-level enterprise — typical pilot enterprises carry 5-50% debt load. Operationally self-funded growth.
  • Real equity positive + accumulating: F1.460 retained earnings 2,176 → 2,190 — POSITIVE (not an accumulated loss). Real equity (ex-revaluation) = 213+2,190 = 2,403 = 40.6% of F1.490 — substantial earned-equity contribution.
  • Cash buffer strong: F1.270 794k BYN = 11.4% of the balance. Stable cash position (837 → 794, slight -5%). The enterprise has weeks of operating runway. No payment risk.
  • Real dividends growing: F4.092 122 (vs 74 prior, +65%). Dividend coverage from net profit = 122/140 = 87% — a high payout ratio. The state (95.67%) gets a real cash return on capital.
  • K1 strong and improving: 2.223 → 2.542 (+14.3%), 2× the norm. Healthy working-capital management.
  • K1_SOS positive 0.605 (4× the 0.15 norm) — the opposite of loss-making peers. Permanent capital fully covers long-term assets. Operationally self-sufficient.
  • A full-year 2025 audit was performed (opinion dated 17.02.2026, period 01.01.2025–31.12.2025), unqualified ('fairly presented in all material respects').
  • Long-term receivables F1.170 -5.6% (232 → 219) — managed long-term receivables. Combined with short-term receivables -32% — overall receivables trajectory improving (collection efficiency).
  • Dividends are structurally consistent across the statements: BYN 126k declared (F3.166), BYN 122k paid (F4.092), matching the disclosed payment within rounding. No discrepancy.
  • All six control checks and the internal arithmetic of the statements reconcile; the statements passed an external audit. High data quality.

Recommendation

Suggested outcome
Privatization
Category
Stable
Health score
1.18
Confidence level
Medium

OJSC "Baranovichipromburvod" is a district-level service enterprise in Baranovichi, Brest region, 95.67% state-owned (351 shareholders); the activity profile is pipeline construction (industrial well-drilling + industrial water supply, OKED 42.21). This is services / construction, not production agribusiness — a fundamentally different business model from all previously filled district-level cards (trade, agribusiness production, transport services). By size the enterprise is very small — balance sheet BYN 6,977k, revenue BYN 5,865k, net profit BYN 140k — a small enterprise among pilot 100 (about 10× smaller than typical production cards). The sector tag in meta.json indicates the enterprise may hold a dominant position in well-drilling in the Baranovichi district; this status requires confirmation by the competition authority. Pending such confirmation it is classified at district level.

The financial structure is exceptionally clean: (1) NO DEBT — F1.510 + F1.610 = 0 in both periods (an old loan of 299 was taken in 2024 and fully repaid the same year via F4.091); (2) Real equity positive — F1.460 retained earnings +2,190 (positive, not an accumulated loss); real equity (without revaluation) 40.6% of F1.490; (3) Cash strong — F1.270 = 794 = 11.4% of the balance sheet, weeks of operations runway; (4) Operating-profitable both years — F2.060 = +506 (2025), +786 (2024), sales K2 8.63% and 13.91% — above the 5% benchmark; (5) Real dividends paid — F4.092 = BYN 122k (vs 74 prior, +65%) — an 87% payout ratio of net profit, the state (95.67%) receives a real cash return; (6) K1 strong — 2.542 (2× the norm), improving; (7) K1_OWC positive — 0.605 (4× the norm), unlike loss-making peers; (8) long-term-asset coverage at the upper edge of the norm — 1.379.

At the same time, the trajectory is noticeably deteriorating: sales K2 −5.28 pp (13.91 → 8.63), net K2 −3.77 pp (6.16 → 2.39), OCF margin −14.09 pp (19.24 → 5.15). Net profit −60% YoY (348 → 140), operating profit −36% (786 → 506). The compression drivers — cost inflation (cost of sales +10.4%) outpacing revenue (+3.82%) + opex growth (+9.2% administrative). This is a classic small-services cost squeeze: Belarusian inflation 2025 ~5–7%, input costs rose faster than pricing power. Revenue is nominally +3.82% but real −1 to −3% against Belarusian CPI — this is market saturation or competitive pressure, not expansion. The fall in OCF margin of −14 pp is the most concerning trend signal — operations generate significantly less cash at the same revenue level.

Recommendation privatization / stable / MEDIUM confidence. The logic:

1. Privatization is the right outcome because: (a) operationally profitable both years — no operational fix required before sale; (b) zero debt — the buyer does not inherit financial obligations requiring restructuring; (c) real equity positive + accumulating via retained earnings — value is transferable; (d) state ownership of 95.67% in a service sector is not strategically required — water supply and well-drilling is a competitive sector with many private operators in Belarus; (e) a small enterprise — a natural buyer pool of medium-size construction holdings or private services companies in the region.

2. Stable tier because: positive net profit both years + no debt + real equity positive + strong cash buffer + a real dividend track record + long-term-asset coverage at the upper edge of the norm + healthy K1/K1_OWC. Even with margin compression — the enterprise is NOT distressed.

3. MEDIUM confidence (not HIGH) because: (a) a significant margin-compression trajectory — if it continues, the tier shifts to problematic; (b) OCF −72% absolute decline — the primary watchpoint for FY+1; (c) revenue real decline — a market signal under pressure; (d) the possible dominant status is unconfirmed — could shift the classification; (e) a small enterprise — the magnitude of any single shock is proportionally larger.

Privatization sequencing: an open auction or tender within 6–9 months. The prospective buyer pool is private service companies in water supply, drilling and gas distribution, alongside specialised international operators. A sale to a larger Belarusian player able to consolidate district services under single control is excluded — it would concentrate the market, against the purpose of the reform. Any acquisition that could create a dominant position or raise economic-sovereignty concerns is assessed case-by-case by the National Asset Management Agency. Conditions minimal: workforce protection (a small enterprise, ~30–50 people estimated based on F4.032 payroll of 2,065 at an average wage of BYN 700–1,000/month = 23–29 people); continuation of the operating profile for 3–5 years; retention of the existing client base (likely regional-government client contracts which may require continuity guarantees).

OSINT Belarus 2.0