Nesvizh Pharmaceutical Plant

OJSC "Nesvizh Pharmaceutical Plant"

UNP: 600031159 · 8 Sovetskaya St., Alba settlement, Nesvizh District, Minsk Region 222603, Republic of Belarus

HoldingsMonopoliesState investment

Identification

UNP600031159
OKEDmanufacture of pharmaceutical preparations
Legal formOJSC
Governing bodyholdings (a subsidiary of RUE "UKH of the 'Belfarmprom' holding"); state share via the holding (exact figure TBD — details not in the report, but a 100% subsidiary of the pharma holding)
Parent holdingРУП «Управляющая компания холдинга «Белфармпром»»
Address8 Sovetskaya St., Alba settlement, Nesvizh District, Minsk Region 222603, Republic of Belarus

Financial statements

k BYN

Line itemReporting yearPrior year
Fixed assets52 72850 052
Intangible assets5228
Income-bearing investments in tangible assets
Investments in long-term assets2 4341 581
Long-term financial investments
Long-term receivables
Total Section I (long-term assets)55 21451 661
Inventories14 91211 454
— materials8 7746 729
— work in progress9541 127
— finished goods and merchandise5 0933 598
— goods shipped
— other inventories91
Deferred expenses2824
VAT on acquired goods, works, services382
Short-term receivables11 9588 183
Short-term financial investments
Cash and cash equivalents9 50313 303
Other short-term assets
Total Section II (short-term assets)36 43932 966
BALANCE (assets)91 65384 627
Charter capital6 3956 395
Reserve capital3 2482 723
Additional capital47 61943 737
Retained earnings (uncovered loss)30 28829 122
Total Section III (equity)87 55081 977
Long-term loans and borrowings
Long-term lease liabilities
Deferred income26
Provisions for future payments2921
Total Section IV (long-term liabilities)3127
Short-term loans and borrowings703174
Current portion of long-term liabilities
Short-term payables3 3692 449
— to suppliers, contractors, providers2 246560
— on advances received13028
— on taxes and duties208312
— on social insurance and security152152
— on payroll514496
— on lease payments
— to the owner of property (founders, participants)
— to other creditors119901
Deferred income
Total Section V (short-term liabilities)4 0722 623
BALANCE (equity and liabilities)91 65384 627

Computed metrics

K1 · Current ratio
8.949
Prior: 12.568(-28.8%)
F1.290 / F1.690 = 36439 / 4072
K1 · Own working capital ratio
0.887
Prior: 0.92(-3.6%)
(F1.490 - F1.190) / F1.290
K2 · Sales profitability
12.56%
Prior: 16.82%(-4.25 пп)
F2.060 / F2.010 × 100%
K2 · Net profitability
5.75%
Prior: 9.7%(-3.95 пп)
F2.210 / F2.010 × 100%
K3 · Revenue dynamics
-6.9%
(F2.010_N / F2.010_N-1) - 1
K3 · Debt dynamics
304.02%
(F1.510 + F1.610)_N / (F1.510 + F1.610)_N-1 - 1 = 703/174 - 1
Operating cash-flow margin
-1.32%
Prior: 26.83%
F4.040 / F2.010 × 100%

Integrity checks

Checks passed: 6 of 6

Balance sheet balances (assets = liabilities)
Cash-flow integrity
Cash-flow residuals
Cash position
Capital transition
Profit consistency

Signals

Red flags
  • OCF FLIP into negative (F4.040 -545 vs +11,893 prior, magnitude 12,438 swing): operating cash flow went negative despite positive operating profit (F2.060 = +5,185). The gap = working-capital absorption: stocks +30% (F1.210 11,454→14,912), receivables +46% (F1.250 8,183→11,958), finished goods +42% (3,598→5,093). Cash turned into inventory + receivables, not cash. A structural concern: if working-capital growth does not reverse — operations cannot self-fund in 2026.
  • Short-term bank loan +304% (F1.610 174→703): for the first time the enterprise depends on bank short-term funding to cover the working-capital gap. With zero long-term debt this is a shift in financial structure — historically standalone funding now needs external bank support.
Yellow flags
  • Revenue declining -6.9% (44,324→41,266): nominally, with inflation 7-9% a real decline of 13-15%. Pharmaceutical production in Belarus is regulated (procurement prices via OrgTender, market access via the regulator); revenue decline may mean (a) loss of contracts, (b) regulatory price compression, (c) export restrictions (sanction-related impact on eastern markets). The specific driver is undetermined without reading the Notes.
  • K2_sales -4.25pp (16.82%→12.56%): significant margin compression. Cost of sales fell -7.8% (faster than revenue -6.9%) — relatively positive cost discipline, but admin expenses +10.5% (10,702→11,826) grow despite the volume decline. An operational scaling problem.
  • K2_net -3.95pp (9.70%→5.75%): net profit -44.8% (4,299→2,374) — almost halving. Added to this are increased dividend / National-Fund outflows = a double drain on retained earnings.
  • Cash -28.6% (F1.270 13,303→9,503): cash position under pressure, though the absolute level is still solid (10% of revenue). Driven by: a massive dividend payment 1,506 (8× prior), increased capex 3,252, working-capital absorption.
  • State extraction via the National Development Fund — F3.168 = 1,121k BYN: the state extracts value via a special fund on top of dividends (430). Total state flow = 430 + 1,121 = 1,551k BYN — 65% of net profit (2,374). A government extraction mechanism on strategic state enterprises — pharmaceuticals as a priority sector subject to these contributions. There is also F3.158 = 297 (receipt from the centralized fund) — a bidirectional channel, net outflow = 1,121 - 297 = 824.
  • Holding subsidiary of 'Belfarmprom' — limited standalone analysis: trade pricing, drug prices via the regulator, intercompany transactions with other holding subsidiaries. All these factors may influence operating P&L. Group-level analysis recommended.
  • Receivables +46% on revenue -6.9%: F1.250 8,183→11,958, growth driver — collection slowdown or more shipments without immediate collection. Linked to the OCF FLIP — cash inflow from sales slowed. Recommended check: F1.250 breakdowns for counterparty types and aging — was there concentration risk or small balances across many clients.
  • Stocks +30% on revenue -6.9% (for the whole section). Materials +30% (6,729→8,774), finished goods +42% (3,598→5,093). Storage 241% of monthly average (per page 20) — a serious over-stocking signal. Either customers refused deliveries (warehoused product), or production opacity, or provider lock-in for a long supply chain (pharma inputs impacted by sanctions).
Green signals
  • Permanent capital confidently covers long-term assets — coverage 1.586 (>1.5): permanent capital (87,550 + 31 = 87,581) covers long-term assets (55,214) at 1.586 (vs 1.587 prior — stable). A structurally healthy profile — capex funded through equity, not debt. A self-funded production base.
  • K1 current ratio = 8.949 — extreme (norm 1.25): current assets 36,439 cover current liabilities 4,072 by 8.95x. A huge buffer. Cash + receivables + inventory > 36m against short-term liabilities 4m — a rare structural strength in the pilot.
  • K1 SOS = 0.887 (norm ≥0.15): own working capital is 88.7% of F1.290 (32,336 / 36,439). A very strong working-capital base — the enterprise could survive a year without revenue and not go bust.
  • Long-term liabilities = 31 (F1.540+550, no loans / lease). An almost zero-debt structure. Outstanding financial discipline — pharma production is traditionally capex-heavy, but Nesvizh funds fixed assets (F1.110 = 52,728) through revaluation + retained earnings.
  • Equity growing: 81,977→87,550 (+6.8%). Quality: revaluation net +4,453 (F2.220), net profit +2,374, retained→reserve allocation +525. A steadily growing capital base.
  • Dividend outflow 1,506 (F4.092, 8× prior 164): proof of real profitability — a profitable enterprise generating a real return on capital. To the state via dividends + National Fund = ~1,551k BYN annual cash return — substantial.
  • Audit unqualified opinion (LLP 'MaiC Konsalt Belbud', Minsk): a professional audit firm (not an individual auditor as at smaller enterprises) gave a clean opinion. Professional validation of the statements' integrity.
  • Capex sustained: F4.061 = 3,252k BYN (vs 3,539 prior) — a stable level of capital investment. Per page 38 — a 'Technical modernization of building 7' project worth 6,000k BYN — a forward-looking investment in production infrastructure.
  • Exports USD 49.6k (page 19): a relatively small volume (~120k BYN), but the existence of export operations means (a) currency diversification, (b) market reach beyond domestic, (c) a potential growth direction. Pharma exports are regulated by importers' sanitary-epidemiological norms — the presence of exports = achieved compliance with external standards.
  • Strategic sector: pharmaceutical production = national security (drug availability), especially given the sanctions impact on drug imports. Retaining state control in this sector is justified regardless of financial metrics.

Recommendation

Suggested outcome
State investment
Category
Stable
Health score
1.00
Confidence level
High
State investment

Pharmaceutical production — a national-security sector (availability of medicines, especially under sanctions pressure on imports). Removing the sector from state control is inexpedient, which rules out privatization. The trajectory is worsening (revenue −6.9%, weakening cash flow) — proactive state investment in modernization and market-share retention is required. The state already extracts value via the National Development Fund (65% of net profit) — the enterprise is within the orbit of state priority.

OJSC "Nesvizh Plant of Medical Preparations" — manufacture of pharmaceutical preparations (revenue BYN 41,266k, balance sheet BYN 91,653k) within RUE "UKH of the 'Belfarmprom' holding" (a republican pharma holding). Location: Minsk region, Nesvizh district, Alba settlement. The financial fundamentals are strong: long-term-asset coverage by permanent capital 1.586 (strong category), liquidity K1 8.949 (extreme — nearly 9× above norm), K1 OWC 0.887 (88.7% of working capital is own), long-term liabilities ~zero (BYN 31k), capital BYN 87,550k — a structurally healthy production base. Net K2 5.75% (profitable), sales K2 12.56% (operationally profitable), real dividends (1,506 paid).

HOWEVER: all indicators are trending deteriorating:

  • Revenue −6.9% (44,324→41,266) — real decline ~13–15% adjusting for inflation
  • Sales K2 −4.25pp (16.82→12.56)
  • Net K2 −3.95pp (9.70→5.75)
  • OCF FLIPPED to negative (−545 vs +11,893 prior): operations absorbing cash through working-capital growth (inventories +30%, receivables +46%, finished goods +42%)
  • Cash position −28.6%
  • Short-term bank loan +304% (174→703) — first-time reliance on bank short-term funding
  • State value extraction (F3.168 = BYN 1,121k contributions to the National Development Fund + 430 dividends = 1,551 into the state — 65% of net profit extracted)

The state_investment outcome was chosen on a combination of strategic and financial grounds:

1. Strategic sector: manufacture of pharmaceutical preparations — Belarus's national security (availability of medicines, especially in the context of the sanctions impact on imports). The state should not withdraw this sector from state control (rules out privatization).

2. Financial health fundamentally strong: capital 87.5M, long-term-asset coverage 1.586, zero long-term liabilities, K1 8.95 — this is not a distressed enterprise, restructuring is unwarranted (rules out restructuring).

3. Not liquidation: profitability is preserved (net K2 5.75%), dividends are real, capex sustained — the enterprise generates value (rules out liquidation).

4. Deteriorating trajectory calls for state_investment: revenue −6.9%, OCF FLIP, working capital absorbing cash — what is needed is strategic investment in: (a) market expansion (export to Russia, CIS, EAEU), (b) technological modernization (the R&D project of building 7 at BYN 6,000k is already planned), (c) marketing to retake market share, (d) holding-level consolidation of related pharma producers.

If there is no intervention, the predicted trajectory: revenue continues declining → OCF stays negative → working capital becomes funded by bank debt → predictable distress in 2–3 years. State_investment should be proactive to restore the growth path.

Confidence MEDIUM-HIGH: a FULL+FY-1 source with an extensive audit + 23 pages of notes + 10 pages of breakdowns — the most qualitative source in the pilot to date. Confidence baseline HIGH per matrix v2.1. Downgraded to MEDIUM-HIGH (not HIGH polished) because of:

  • the state-extraction channel reveals a government extraction mechanism that shifts the interpretation of operating profitability
  • The 1-year deterioration trend requires 2–3 years to confirm direction (recovery or sustained decline)
  • Holding context limits standalone fidelity — group-level intercompany transactions may account for part of the decline

Recommended next steps for a partnered session: open the Notes to understand the drivers of the revenue decline + working-capital absorption. If export contracts are disrupted (sanctions) — the state_investment scope shifts to diversification; if domestic price compression — to regulatory engagement; if internal inefficiency — to operational reform.

OSINT Belarus 2.0